Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.003341 0.003505 0.003673 0.003857 0.004054 0.004259 0.004489
2025-03-30 0.003018 0.003258 0.003514 0.003807 0.004134 0.004490 0.004907
2025-04-06 0.002840 0.003127 0.003440 0.003808 0.004233 0.004710 0.005289
2025-04-13 0.002626 0.002932 0.003273 0.003684 0.004167 0.004724 0.005419
2025-04-20 0.002523 0.002853 0.003228 0.003688 0.004242 0.004895 0.005733
2025-04-27 0.002464 0.002820 0.003230 0.003743 0.004375 0.005135 0.006135
2025-05-04 0.002363 0.002731 0.003160 0.003706 0.004388 0.005225 0.006351
2025-05-11 0.002281 0.002659 0.003107 0.003682 0.004415 0.005330 0.006585
2025-05-18 0.002205 0.002591 0.003053 0.003656 0.004434 0.005422 0.006803
2025-05-25 0.002176 0.002579 0.003068 0.003714 0.004560 0.005656 0.007221
2025-06-01 0.002117 0.002528 0.003030 0.003702 0.004594 0.005767 0.007474
2025-06-08 0.002055 0.002469 0.002981 0.003672 0.004601 0.005840 0.007675
2025-06-15 0.001984 0.002398 0.002913 0.003616 0.004573 0.005865 0.007811
2025-06-22 0.001921 0.002335 0.002855 0.003570 0.004555 0.005903 0.007966
2025-06-29 0.001881 0.002301 0.002832 0.003571 0.004601 0.006031 0.008259
2025-07-06 0.001797 0.002207 0.002728 0.003457 0.004481 0.005917 0.008179
2025-07-13 0.001765 0.002179 0.002710 0.003461 0.004528 0.006044 0.008472
2025-07-20 0.001752 0.002177 0.002727 0.003512 0.004642 0.006272 0.008937
2025-07-27 0.001708 0.002131 0.002683 0.003477 0.004631 0.006314 0.009105
2025-08-03 0.001671 0.002095 0.002650 0.003456 0.004638 0.006382 0.009318
2025-08-10 0.001635 0.002058 0.002616 0.003432 0.004639 0.006441 0.009518
2025-08-17 0.001628 0.002060 0.002635 0.003485 0.004756 0.006683 0.010038
2025-08-24 0.001599 0.002032 0.002612 0.003474 0.004777 0.006774 0.010303